Marketing Guru Seth Godin proposed an iPhone challenge: Let's predict how many iPhones Apple will sell in 2007 & 2008. For the record, I have no knowledge of anything from Apple... I'm strictly shooting from the hip here.
I want one, my wife wants one, my mom wants one. That's 3. I'm going to assume there are a million other groups (3 million in total) that will buy an iPhone in 2007. 3mil $599 phones - that's a lot of revenue out there for Apple.
Apple dropped "Computers" from the title, because they want to be a gadget company. Steve will have them looking like a gadget company... Here's my predictions:
June 2007: Apple will sell 2.5 million iPhones as described on Apple's website during the remaining calendar year.
January 2008: Apple will release the equivalent of the iPhone Nano (smaller iPhone with less features) this will sell 4 million units.
2008: Apple will sell 6 million iPhones in 2008.
November 2008: Apple will release a NON-Phone-iPhone - a subLaptop that will serve as an Internet device/iPod without the phone features.
When Apple says 10mil iPhones, that doesn't mean 10mil $599 phones. They've sold 100million iPods. Most of them, however, are Nanos or Shuffles (which are under $199). Apple's 10mil predictions, while bold, give us a peak into a more economical iPhone coming soon to an Apple Store near you.
Well I know that Ariel is looking at getting one (he is already saving his money) and I think it would be great for me (fathers day presnt-hint, hint). I must say for shooting from the hip, you have me thinking of Apple stock!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Posted by: Oscar Roque | 2007.05.02 at 11:57 PM